Hello guys Gpwnz here Many of you know me from my live stream. This is my first vlog about soccer betting, where I will talk about a tactic to bet on goal in the half A winning tactic. As long as you follow some steps. The first thing I do is to look the match’s odds for over 2.5. If the odds are low, then this means that many goals are expected in this match And when this happens, the goals will most likely be spread in both halves. You will rarely see all the goals of an “ over” match, scored in the 2nd half.
Only Usually there will be 1 or 2 goals scored in the 1st half and the rest in the 2nd half. Therefore, it’s good for me to know: if there are many goals expected in the match or not, Then the 2nd thing I look is how often it is for the teams playing to have a goal in the 1st half. There are many sites where you can check this feature.
I use soccer stats tracker, which is a very nice software. It covers most of the famous European leagues and some from Brazil and Argentina, a nice software that shows clearly all the useful stats and it’s very easy for me to see what is most likely to happen. For example, I can ask from this program to find the top 100 teams, from all leagues, with over 85 % rate in all games, to have a goal in the 1st half when they play both home and away. I press search and I get these teams that in 85 % or more of their games, they’ve had goal in the 1st half.
First of all, Zilina from Slovakia in all 14 games, either home or away, had goal in the 1st half, And this means that most likely it will happen again in their next match: Salzburg, 2nd, Basel Ross County .., the more games this happens and the more often The better for you, the more possible it is to occur in the next match, too. All the teams that we see here right now have goals in their first half. Even Giannina are here, they have played 8 matches and in all 8 of them there was goal in the 1st half with most recent yesterday against Asteras, Tripolis 1-1 half time result Very useful tool. The other way is to go to “ h2h feature” and you can choose, for example, Arsenal versus Tottenham there, where it reads: h1+ it’s the goal.
In the first half we can see that Arsenal had goal in the first half in 4 out of 5 home games, meaning 80 % of them And for Tottenham the 3 out of 5 away games had goal in the first half, meaning the 60 % of them. If I add 80, + 60 equals 140 divided by 2, it’s 70 %, as average rate for the goal in 1st half, And you compare with what happens in the league if it’s a usual phenomeno to have a goal. In the first half You to England, Premier League, and you see that out of 100 games in 66, there has been goal in the first half meaning 66 %, and since these 2 teams overcome the average rate of the league to have a goal in the 1st Half it’s a very good choice to include this match for such bet.
The 3rd step that I follow is the live stats. I use bet365 for my bets and the good thing is, apart from the good odds and the variety of leagues, etc. It also has this tool on the right, which tells me how many attacks have been made: the possession, how many shots on target and off target.
If you see a lot of attacks, dangerous attacks, many shots on target or shots in general, then this is also encouraging for such a bet. The more of these stats you see the better, Especially if you see good movement of the ball in the first 20 minutes. Then it’s even more possible for you to see a goal also until 45′.
This is the 3rd that I check now. The 4th is to keep an eye on the live odds of the match and especially the odds for goal in the 1st half The odds usually express the probability of an event to occur As time goes by the probability decreases, so the odds increase We take. For example, this match in Saudi Arabia U23 the odds for the goal in first half have reached 2.00 And, as we approach more and more 45′, the more the odds will increase. Usually the odds for a first half goal start from around 1.2 for the teams that usually score a lot and the usual odds for this start at 1.5, which is the most often And from there they increase as time goes by By 20′ to 25′.
If there hasn’t been a goal, usually the odds, reach 2.00 or even go over that, and then it’s a good time to bet on it, based, of course, on the steps the info and the stats that you followed. The odds are good to bet on at around that time, For the live odds, I use this site called sbobet, which is an Asian booker. The good thing about this booker is that it shows me how the odds move for over 0.5 goals in the first half, When someone bets a lot of money on goal or for some reason, the booker thinks that it’s quite possible for a goal to occur. The odds will drop – and this is an extra motive for us to keep in mind this match for a goal in the 1st half.
It’S good to check also the live odds. But if you take the 3 first steps which are to check the odds for over 2.5 before the match starts, how often is for the two teams to have a goal in the 1st half and also the league average, for example Norway, Czech Republic, Sweden? These are leagues that both over is possible and the goal in the first half. If you take these 3 steps, then you just wait for the odds to reach a good value to buy it. These are the 3-4 steps that I follow. The 5th is that you don’t need to rush to bet on something without checking something.
Sometimes some punters check just the live stats, but it’s not enough. Some teams may have shots, etc, but these teams never score in the 1st half. So it’s good for you to follow at least 3 of these 4 steps so that you have a better opinion if you should bet or not on the 1st half goal. I follow this system for some time now, but recently I had the idea to keep a track of my bets.
I had here some predictions from Friday I had around 17 predictions from which I lost only 4 and won 13 for first half goal In 13. Of the 17 matches there was a goal in the first half and in just 4. There wasn’t Then on Saturday that there are many matches going on from many leagues.
I had around 32 predictions and lost 10 matches and won in 22 of them, so over 60 % of them, And these are from Sunday some matches that I considered to be very possible candidates for a goal. In the first half Out of 14 matches, I lost only 2 won 12 of them, but the 2 matches that I lost. There was a goal in the 2nd half. So if you lose a bet about a goal in the first half then consider betting on a goal in the 2nd half.
You will rarely see teams that have low odds on over 2.5 and the goal in the first half is very possible to finish 0-0. Usually, almost every time there will be at least a goal in the 2nd half. If there hasn’t been any in the first half, You will rarely see such matches. End 0-0. You just need to watch the match and bet on odds that are over 1.8.
The higher the better, but I believe that over 1.8 is a good price to buy as long as it fulfills these conditions. These steps that I follow these 3-4 steps – I usually just follow 3 of them. Usually I don’t check the odds or other times. I don’t check what is going on in the game. Other do it for me, because if I see that the odds for a goal drop, then it means that they see something, and I just follow 3 out of 4 steps.
I believe are good enough to judge if there will be a goal in the half or not So I’m gon na stop with the video here for now, since the 8 matches that I have a prediction for today do not start yet it’s 5 o’clock still and None of the matches has started yet I will continue with the 2nd part of the video after the matches have started have reached about 15′. I will then make a prediction and see if it comes true until 45′ from these games that I have already marked. So, that’s all for now Welcome to the 2nd part of the video about the goal in the 1st half The 1st match is under way the match in Poland, Gornik vs Podbeskidzie.
The reason I have marked this match is because I saw that the home team has 4 out of 5 home games with goal in 1st half and the away team 4 out of 7 away games with goal in the 1st half 80 % + 57 % around 137 % divided by 2, around 68 %, And if we check also what happens in that league, the goal in the 1st half is something usual in Poland, with 76.7 % 79 games out of 103, and I also see the live odds here. I had seen the odds drop for the 0.5-1 market here in sbobet, which is something that indicates that most likely there will be a goal it may drop again until I stop with the video and also in bet365, watching the match, We can see that Gornik is Pressuring continuously has the possession has already made a shot off target, but it’s still before 10′. However, we see a lot of attacks. It has already come close to the opponent’s goal And so far based on stats odds, movement and the live stats on the field. Everything show that most likely there will be a goal until 45′.
Here we see again the odds increasing for the 0.5-1 market, which is quite reasonable, as the time goes by and closer to 45′ and nothing happens. I’Ve seen it already drop 1 time, which was maybe due to liquidity or the home team’s pressure, the odd dropped, and if I see that it drops again, it will be another confirmation that the goal is very possible. We will wait a bit. We are going to wait until I say if we bet on it or not, I won’t wait until the goal.
I shall close the video and then restart it if the bet lands – and this part is to see how we approach a match that I would like to bet on over 0.5. First half goals. We see here that it’s at 1.57. It’S not that bad. If you bet here 100€ and make 57€ profit on something that seems quite possible, there was a shot on target. Also from the opponent team.
It made a dangerous attack and a shot on target. That’S good, because there is movement from both teams. The odds increase continuously From the rest of the matches that are live now. There isn’t something that I’ve marked or that I’ve seen based on stats, that there will be goal in the 1st half It’s good to focus only on the matches we have marked, and we have one idea of what may happen. 0.5-1 is the 0.75 ( handicap ), where if there is 1 goal, you win half the money or, if not, you lose, and if you see here the odds on over drop, it is a very good signal for what we are looking for.
The white dot indicates the ball’s position. It shows that the home team play very close to the opponent’s area. .91- > .93. It increases as time goes by reasonably.
We are looking forward to a drop. The odds for over 2.5 is something that I didn’t check. To be honest, I mean I saw it, but I dont remember it: we go to “ odds comparison” in flashscore, O/U tab and see for over 2.5 that the odds dropped, which means that everybody thinks that there will be goals.
All the money goes on over something that supports our prediction for goal in the 1st half because, like we said in the 1st part, if the game is over 2.5, the goals are split between both halves. Usually so most likely, we will see a goal also in the 1st half the odds still increase as time goes by. Let’S wait a bit It’s right there.
I hope you have noticed it. We want to see the arrow pointin down to drop from 1.97, which will show that the goal is close. There have been money bet on goal. It can mean a lot of things, but whatever it means it is in our favour, still increasing it’s not necessary to see a drop, as I said in the 1st part, if we are sure based on the stats, we saw that for over 2.5, the match will Most likely be over 2.5, or at least that’s what the odds indicate.
We checked the teams and the league that it is very possible for a goal to be scored in the 1 half and we see also here in the live stats … There is a yellow card, which means for bet365 to freeze. It means it’s at a good spot, very close to the area or even a penalty bet365. Please stop refreshing by yourself … So probably it wasn’t something dangerous since everything unfroze Here in bet365, when it freezes, it usually means that there was some red card goal or penalty, or it was getting very close to a goal. As I was saying, it’s not necessary to see the odds drop.
If we are sure about the rest, 3 steps, it’s good to bet something after the odds, have reached some value 1.66 and will still increase as time goes by since the probability drops, so the odds rise it keeps going up. I saw it drop only one time around 8′ and now we are at 16′. I, like the movement I like these attacks. I like the ball, that is moving around the area because it’s easy, then, for a cross, a good pass and a goal to happen still going up so far.
We are 3 out of 4 steps verified. Let me check: when do the other matches start? This one started at 7 and it’s 17 minutes in then the next start at 8 o’clock. We have the Swedish matches very possible for a goal in the 1st half, because it’s a league where they play very aggressively and open football, very possible that there will be a goal in all 3 matches and then the rest later 2.17. We refresh in case something happens, The odds dropped, but the market has changed here. You need to pay attention to that.
If the market changes it’s normal for the odds to drop. Since we talk about a different market, now it’s over 0.5 and the odds at 1.80 and we’ll see if it drops now, it will start increasing as well 1.82. If it drops again, then we can say that we are ready and sure to bet something on the goal.
The home team is pressuring. It has two shots off target and also has the possession the other team has made 5 dangerous attacks and a shot also on target. So it’s not one-sided. There is some action going on: it’s not passive From 1.82, it dropped to 1.80 very good signal, and I think we are securing the 4th step too.
The ball is close to the goal 1.80 odds and there is also a shot on target very good signal. Indeed. 1.80 odds – some of you may want to wait more, but I would bet something here. At 1.80, all the 4 steps have been met and it is worth some money.
So let’s say we have bet on this 10€ to win 8€. There was one more shot on target. There is more action going on, and this is very good. So let’s say we’ve bet on this 10€ and we will see if we win. And yes, ladies and gentlemen, after about 5 minutes, what we expected came true, with the odds being around 1.8 and even climbed up to 1.9.
During the time we waited, there was a goal from the away team and there’s the goal: .. 0-1 in the Polish game, and we made money depending on how much we bet on 1.8, which is quite decent odds. I hope you understood the way that I work on this tactic, how you check everything, how you check the stats and what each team has done home and away what goes on in the specific league and what is probable to happen? You check the live odds, movement and also what is going on in the match, and you bet accordingly, when you have covered at least the 3 out of 4 steps, then you just go for it when the odds are decent, it’s possible that we see another goal Too, but I won’t go there that up to each and everyone to judge if there will be another goal or not, it’s good to check the live odds here if they drop. If you want to predict another goal and if you see also more movement on the field, usually after a goal, there is some action Anyway.
The point was for us to see how this tactic works, how you should approach it to have good results? It’S the first example that I do on the video and it lands and that’s what I will do also for the next 7 matches that remain for today, 26th of October, And tomorrow I will make the last part of the video to sum up what happened and How much did this tactic pay off I’ve? Seen, though, these days that this tactic works, I’ve had some good profit and if you bet on good odds of 1.8 or more, then you make some profit. I don’t think there is doubt on this. You just need good money management and also bet right. I mean that when you have all the right information and everything indicates towards the goal, then you should bet it doesn’t matter.
If you lose a game, this method shows that it works quite often, and you will always have some lost bets, but slowly from the profits that you will have most of the times, you will grow. That’S all for now, 1 of the 8 games today was won. Let me mark here “ y”, which means “ yes”, and we will see what happens with the rest of these games and tomorrow we sum up and the last comments good night, Hello again. This is the last part of this vlog for the 1st half goal.
Half of the matches have been played more than the half 5 out of 8, where the 1st half is over and we have achieved 5 out of 5 wins so far and we wait on 3 more matches. I preferred to upload the video sooner than wait for the matches and upload the video tomorrow. Anyway, we see that this method can pay us as long as we follow the steps at least 3 out of 4. We need to be able to read the odds to be able to judge what will happen in one match based on stats.
We need to check also how often the teams involved have a goal in the 1st half and how often phenomeno is that in their league and also what do the odds mean when they are low on over 2.5, which means that many goals are usually expected in The match – and this usually means that the goals will be spread among the 2 halves. All these bring us one step closer to make a successful bet. That’S all. I think that the video was very analytical and clear for everyone, no matter how new or old, are you at betting, at least for the specific type of over 0.5 goals in the first half, We see that at Randers match the 1st goal came at 11′ and In the 3 Swedish matches, where I predicted a goal in the 1st half AIK scored at 19′ Kalmar at 16′ and Orebro at 18′, So we have 5 out of 5.
So far, I’m waiting on 3 more matches. That was the vlog about over 0.5 goals. In first half make right money management follow the steps that I describe 3 out of 4 steps, at least, if not all 4 of them, the more you do, the better for you, the more sure you will be about what you are going to do.
Read the odds and understand that the decrease means that something is possible to happen sometimes, instead of reading the stats, if you read an odd drop, it means that something is close to happen, and I hope you all have some profit by following this method. That’S all! If you liked the video – and you want me to talk about something else like over/under 2.5 for 1X2 or how you can profit by guessing the final score, ( correct score, ), let me know in comments or in my facebook page, which you can find in the Description of the video or in youtube comments section Like it subscribe, do whatever you want Anyway, I’m out ..I’ll, see you